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Building marketplaces before you have liquidity

The marketplace literature says chicken-and-egg is the hardest problem. In practice, the hardest problem is shipping v1 without pretending you're past it.

Every marketplace founder eventually reads the Andreessen essay on chicken-and-egg and comes away convinced their job is to solve liquidity. That's half right. The other half is that liquidity comes from trust, and trust comes from shipping something real — not from pretending you already have the thing you're trying to build.

We've shipped two marketplaces into production. Both of them failed the first version. Both of them failed because we tried to launch as a marketplace instead of launching as a single-player tool that a marketplace could emerge from.

The pattern that works: start as a concierge or operator tool for one side. Make that side wildly successful. Let the second side emerge naturally once there's volume worth integrating to.

For ProChair, that meant building the booking + CRM + payments stack for independent beauty pros first. Pros got a business-in-a-box. Consumers weren't invited until there were enough pros that a search would return real results. Day one, no consumer app. Day 180, consumers onboarded to a populated supply side.

The alternative — launching both sides on day one — is how you get a marketplace with 20 pros, 8 consumers, 0 transactions, and a founder who can't tell if the problem is product, supply, demand, or timing. (Usually it's all four.)

Tactically: the right v1 for almost every marketplace is a tool for the supply side. Pros, sellers, operators, creators — whoever supplies the value. Build them a back office that's better than whatever they're using today. Payments, booking, scheduling, messaging, a dashboard. Charge them for it. Let them love it.

When they start to love it, you have supply retention. Supply retention gets you to consumer beta. Consumer beta gets you transactions. Transactions get you data. Data gets you ranking, search, and real marketplace mechanics.

The shortcut marketplaces take — launching as a listings site with no supply depth and no demand — is the fastest way to spend 18 months proving the chicken-and-egg problem is real without solving it.

— Joshua Black / Michai MediaNext piece →